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August 01, 2006
Notes on Condi
While L believes Condi has demonstrated stunning incompetence in handling the Lebanon war, I am inclined to give her a bit more credit because she has in the past come across as fairly pragmatic, at least at a tactical level. However, she seems to have been painted into a corner by White House messaging (Lebanon is yet another front for the War on Terror) and Republican/Democrat contests over who is more fervently pro-Israel. And I suppose that "birth pangs" comment was rather stupid, but likely assumed that the IDF would wipe the floor with Hezbollah if given carte blanche by the US, and that the Lebanese would condemn Hezbollah instead of Israel.
Yesterday, I was flipping back and forth between articles that described Condi's progress in crafting the outlines of a ceasefire agreement, simultaneously contradicted by Olmert's statements: "There is no ceasefire and there will not be any ceasefire in the coming days". Israel is obviously pandering to its domestic audience, leaving the US in the awkward position of mopping up the diplomatic mess left behind.
The WSJ (which I don't normally read but the article was sent to me) suggests that this divergence is causing some strain as Condi desperately maneouvers to get a Sec Council resolution in place before more UN outposts/civilians are blown to bits, more carnage-filled photos are posted on the internet and more Western allies are alienated.
Speaking in Florida, President Bush dismissed the idea of "stopping for the sake of stopping" without a plan for lasting peace. But he also reiterated U.S. plans to pursue U.N. action to end the fighting.The growing tensions underscore the risk the administration took several weeks ago by backing Israel's right to wage its offensive against Hezbollah.
A senior administration official said the U.S. believed Israel would have only a matter of weeks to strike Hezbollah before international pressure for a cease-fire forced an end to the fighting, especially if civilian casualties climbed. Now, the official said, the U.S. is beginning to fear that it could be left both with mounting regional fury and an emboldened Hezbollah that has withstood the initial assault without losing its ability to inflict casualties on Israeli troops and civilians.
Oopsie.
Apparently some Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee is finally waking up to the madness and calling for an immediate halt to hostilities. Forget his name, but it's about time someone mentioned that "stopping for the sake of stopping" is really about stopping because many innocent civilians are getting blown up.
Ah yes, this guy:
"How do we realistically believe that a continuation of the systematic destruction of an American friend -- the country and people of Lebanon -- is going to enhance America's image and give us the trust and credibility to lead a lasting and sustained peace effort in the Middle East?" asked Hagel, the No. 2 Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.He called on Bush to name "a statesman of global stature" as his personal envoy to the region. And he urged the administration to open direct talks with Hezbollah's backers, Iran and Syria, both of which Washington also accuses of meddling in Iraq.
"Our relationship with Israel is special and historic," he said. "But it need not and cannot be at the expense of our Arab and Muslim relationships. That is an irresponsible and dangerous false choice."
Posted by eerie at August 1, 2006 01:34 PM
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Comments
Well, I never did see that pragmatic side to Condi. As I recall, she was more than willing to skewer Powell when he was sitting in the seat she now occupies.
So now, being in State, she has to deal with the totality of US interests, and is finding, as State has throughout this Admin, that the Cheney/Rumsfeld/Bolton boys have a slightly different take on that than just about every other person on the planet, and that Bush's default mode is to actually listen to these fools, rather than the rest of the planet.
Oopsie.
Posted by: pantom at August 1, 2006 02:20 PM
I had a semi-crush on Powell ages ago. He was so charming and articulate, and oozing with integrity (perhaps insincere, but the impression was there).
I even wrote him a letter once (which IMO is far less weird than writing to bloody Qaddafi)
The UN speech made me go off him. Pity.
Posted by: eerie
at August 1, 2006 03:42 PM
hey now! writing to Qaddafi isn't abnormal at all!
(also, i must agree with you, Powell is rather dreamy)
Posted by: drdougfir
at August 1, 2006 05:19 PM
I used to think Powell was the Good Guy in with the Wrong Crowd till I saw a show about him on some biography channel, and he seems to have been an opportunist throughout his career, and decided pretty early on that he had a better chance of getting ahead if he hitched his wagon to the Republicans.
Posted by: SP at August 1, 2006 05:45 PM
Ah well, I don't really mind if people are good at gaming the system, and there are plenty of sane likable Republicans around (but hard to hear them over the rabid fundies/ideologues).
The last few months of his career were so lame though. Badly played.
Posted by: eerie
at August 1, 2006 06:18 PM
I can't say I was ever all that impressed with Condi, either.
She's pretty effective at weaving reasonable-sounding but otherwise fallacious arguments in service of the Administration's spin--I'll give her that. She's at least somewhat skillful in the political sense, which is more than I can say for most of the rest.
Posted by: blue92 at August 2, 2006 08:52 AM
"This is not about setting a timeline," Hagel said. "This is about understanding the implications of the forces of reality."
Reality has a liberal bias, and simply gets in the way of ideology. I've come to equate ideology with blindness to reality, putting pragmatism as the opposite of ideology. Though I don't know if 'brute force solves all in the name of freedom' is an ideology, or macho stupidity.
Stalin was honest, though: 'War solves all problems. Without people, there are no problems.'
Posted by: Klaus
at August 2, 2006 07:46 PM

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